Our Models
Each model was selected from thousands of parameter combinations, backtested across three full NFL seasons. They represent different analytical approaches. Subscribe to the ones that match your style and get weekly forecasts.
Edge Hunter
Aggressive
Targets high-confidence non-divisional games where EPA differentials diverge from professional forecasts.
Steady Hand
Conservative
Prioritizes consistency over big swings. Lower variance, reliable week-to-week. Best for season-long tracking.
Divisional Edge
Situational
Specializes in divisional matchups where familiarity skews professional forecasts. Strongest in weeks 10-18.
Momentum
Trend-based
Weights recent performance heavily using EWMA-smoothed EPA. Catches trending teams early.
Composite v1
Blended
Ensemble of the other four models, weighted by recent Q4 confidence accuracy. Best overall performer.
Model #6
Community-driven
This one's yours. Tell us what you want to see. Different weights, new factors, bold strategies. We'll build it, test it, and publish the results. Vote on parameters, suggest adjustments, and watch it evolve.
Not sure which model to follow?
Start with Composite v1. It blends the best of all models and has the most consistent track record.
View Composite v1