NFL forecasts backed by data, not hunches.
We built and tested thousands of prediction models so you don't have to. Follow the ones that match your style, get weekly forecasts, and see the full track record. No black boxes.
This Week's Top Forecasts
Games where our models have the strongest consensus.
| Matchup | Other Forecasts | Model Forecast | Confidence | Models |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo@Kansas City | KC -2.5 | Buffalo has a 2.5 point advantage | High | 4/5 agree |
| Philadelphia@San Francisco | SF -1 | Philadelphia has a 1.0 point advantage | Medium | 3/5 agree |
| Detroit@Dallas | DET -3.5 | Detroit has a 3.5 point advantage | High | 5/5 agree |
Our Models
Each model was selected from thousands of parameter combinations. They represent different analytical approaches. Subscribe to the ones that match your style.
Edge Hunter
61.1%Aggressive
Targets high-confidence non-divisional games where EPA differentials diverge from professional forecasts.
Steady Hand
55.9%Conservative
Prioritizes consistency over big swings. Lower variance, reliable week-to-week. Best for season-long tracking.
Divisional Edge
53.3%Situational
Specializes in divisional matchups where familiarity skews professional forecasts. Strongest in weeks 10-18.
Momentum
55.2%Trend-based
Weights recent performance heavily using EWMA-smoothed EPA. Catches trending teams early.
Composite v1
57.7%Blended
Ensemble of the other four models, weighted by recent Q4 confidence accuracy. Best overall performer.
Model #6
Coming SoonCommunity-driven
This one's yours. Tell us what you want to see. Different weights, new factors, bold strategies. We'll build it, test it, and publish the results.
How It Works
Subscribe
Browse our five models, see their full track records, and follow the ones that fit your analytical style.
Get Forecasts
Every week, your subscribed models generate predictions for every NFL game. See confidence levels and model consensus.
Shape the Models
Think a model should weight something differently? Tell us. We test community suggestions and ship improvements when the data agrees.
Transparent predictions, proven results.
No black boxes. Just data-driven NFL forecasts with full backtest history you can verify yourself.
See This Week's Forecasts